Azerbaijan Economy in the First Eight Months of 2016; Brief Overview

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Eight Months of 2016; Brief Overview CESD- Center for Economic and Social Development concluded its macro-economic survey results for the first eight months in 2016. Both independent and official reports show that GDP continued declining in the reporting period. According to the State Statistic Committee of Azerbaijan, GDP decreased 3.1 % in the first eight months in 2016 since CESD calculations found out 3.9 % decline... Read More

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Seven Months of 2016; Brief Overview

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Seven Months of 2016; Brief Overview CESD- Center for Economic and Social Development concluded its macro-economic survey results for the first seven months in 2016. Both independent and official reports show that GDP continued declining in the reporting period. According to the State Statistic Committee of Azerbaijan, GDP decreased 3.0 % in the first seven months in 2016 since CESD calculations found out 3.7 % decline... Read More

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Half of 2016; Brief Overview

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Half of 2016; Brief Overview CESD- Center for Economic and Social Development concluded its macro-economic survey results for the first half in 2016. Both independent and official reports show that GDP continued declining in the reporting period. According to the State Statistic Committee of Azerbaijan, GDP decreased 3.4 % in the first half in 2016 since CESD calculations found out 4.1 % decline in the economy. According... Read More

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Quarter in 2016; Brief Overview

Azerbaijan Economy in the First Quarter in 2016; Brief Overview CESD- Center for Economic and Social Development concluded its macro-economic survey results for the first quarter in 2016. Both independent and official reports show that GDP continued declining in the reporting period. According to the State Statistic Committee of Azerbaijan, GDP decreased 3.5 % in the first quarter in 2016 since CESD calculations found out 4.1 % decline in the economy. Download... Read More

Bloomberg: Central Bank Depleted by Azeri Crisis as Oil Brings No Relief

Bloomberg: Central Bank Depleted by Azeri Crisis as Oil Brings No Relief Vugar Bayramov: “Sooner or later, the central bank will have to pull out of the market to stop the depletion of its currency reserves” The once-in-a-generation crash in oil prices sent the Azeri economy staggering into a crisis and the central bank is running out of options to stop the unraveling. Every seventh lender is now shut, the currency is testing new lows and by one... Read More

The Road Map of an Anti-Crisis Strategy in Azerbaijan

The Road Map of an Anti-Crisis Strategy in Azerbaijan Written by Dr. Vugar Bayramov The current economic policy, including the monetary policy needs to be compatible with post-oil or crisis period. Presently there are two major priorities in economic policy of government and the Central Bank: to constrain inflation and prevent or delay potential variations in the exchange rate of national currency. These priorities are important, however they are... Read More

Fitch Rating’s Forecasts for Azerbaijan Economy

Fitch Rating’s Forecasts for Azerbaijan Economy Fitch Rating has published today its forecasts for the economic situation in Azerbaijan for 2015-17. The report of Fitch’s senior director Paule Gamble says that by the end of 2015 the GDP growth rate is projected to be 2.3%, for 2016 – 2.7%, and for 2017 – 3%. By the end of 2015 Fitch expects inflation in Azerbaijan at the level of 5.5% (optimistic scenario), in 2016 – 5%, and in 2017... Read More

2015 Growth Forecast for Azerbaijan Adjusted

2015 Growth Forecast for Azerbaijan Adjusted The European Bank for Reconstruction & Development (EBRD) has announced Regional Economic Prospects 2015. The Bank has adjusted its official growth forecast from 3.0 % to 1.5 % in 2015. The Bank has reported that Azerbaijan has “suffered” because of its dependence on hydrocarbons whose prices have fallen. At that, the ERBD is confident in the country’s sustainability to external shocks and... Read More

Assessment of Effect of Declining Oil Prices on Azerbaijan Economy

Assessment of Effect of Declining Oil Prices on Azerbaijan Economy The main goal of the study is to assess how oil price decline in the world market will potentially impact Azerbaijani Economy. The paper specifically looks how last changes in the world market will effect on both revenue and expenditure sides of the state budget. The study also examines “side impact” and “domino effects” of low oil prices. As an oil exporter country Azerbaijan... Read More

Does decline of oil price cause Azerbaijani national currency depreciation?

Does decline of oil price cause Azerbaijani national currency depreciation? Azerbaijani national currency, manat, will keep a stable rate against US dollar in the short term, the chairman of the Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD), well-know economist Vugar Bayramov said. In the medium and long term, then, according to Bayramov, here is difficult to predict manat’s rate since It will depend on the world oil market. “Despite the... Read More

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