The CESD Assessment on the 2019 State Budget Project

The CESD Assessment on the 2019 State Budget Project The current external macroeconomic conditions observed throughout the year of 2018, such as increasing rates by FED/ECB, exerts certain pressure on the economies of developing nations. Despite hovering well-over its predicted value for most of the year, the recent decline in the price of oil once again puts question marks for the future of the commodity. Considering all of the above mentioned facts... Read More

Oil Becomes More Expensive. Should We Be Happy about That?

Oil Becomes More Expensive. Should We Be Happy about That? The oil market started in 2018 with a successful “run” to new highs for 2.5 years: according to Bloomberg, last Thursday the price of Brent at the auctions in London exceeded $ 68 per barrel for the first time since May 2015. The American standard WTI went up by 3.9% – to 62.21 dollars per barrel, also having registered a peak since the summer of 2015. A new record was demonstrated... Read More

The Effect of Oil Price Fluctuations on the Exchange Rate of the National Currency of Azerbaijan: Assessment of the years 2014-2017

The Effect of Oil Price Fluctuations on the Exchange Rate of the National Currency of Azerbaijan: Assessment of the years 2014-2017 Since the year 2014, falling oil prices continued. In the beginning of 2016, oil prices bottomed at about USD 29 /bbl, but a gradual increase was recorded towards the end of the year. During 2016, an upward trend in oil prices was obvious, despite market interventions and the lower than average annual price of oil (USD... Read More

CESD: “The situation with Qatar threatens to bring down oil prices”

CESD: “The situation with Qatar threatens to bring down oil prices” Geopolitical tensions surrounding Qatar’s able to bring down the price of oil and to put an end to the agreement by OPEC and countries outside the cartel, to reduce oil production, said RIA Novosti economist, Chairman of the Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD) Vugar Bayramov. On Monday, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE announced the rupture of diplomatic... Read More

Azerbaijani oil output: In permanent decline?

Azerbaijani oil output: In permanent decline? The State Statistics Committee of Azerbaijan has reported that the country produced 12.6 million tons of oil in the first four months of 2017 that was by 9.5% less compared with the period of 2016. Oil stocks as of 1 May 2017 reached 414,700 tons against 629,300 tons by 1 April and 410,200 tons by 1 January 2017. In 2016 the country produced 41.03 million tons of oil that was less than production for 2015... Read More

EBRD forecasts economic downturn in Azerbaijan in 2017

EBRD forecasts economic downturn in Azerbaijan in 2017 Full report is available The European Bank for Reconstruction & Development (EBRD), which published today the Regional Economic Prospects, has reported that in 2017 economic decline in its operations region will be only in Azerbaijan and Belarus. According to the EBRD, this year Azerbaijan’s GDP will decrease by 0.5%, but in 2018 will increase by 2%. At that, in 2017 the EBRD increased... Read More

Vugar Bayramov: “Azerbaijan Will Most Probably Move to Liberal Floating Exchange Regime”

Vugar Bayramov: “Azerbaijan Will Most Probably Move to Liberal Floating Exchange Regime” Next year, the likelihood is high that the Central Bank of Azerbaijan following the example of Russia and Kazakhstan will move to a liberal floating regime of the national currency, Vugar Bayramov, the well-known economist in Azerbaijan, says. Dr. Bayramov underlined that, in this case, even transfers from the Oil Fund will not be able to prevent the depreciation... Read More

Azerbaijan may join the WTO if oil prices continue to remain low

Azerbaijan may join the WTO if oil prices continue to remain low Azerbaijan is preparing for the next meeting of the working groups on the country’s admission to the World Trade Organization (WTO). Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Mahmud Mammadguliyev informs that the meeting of the working groups will take place in Geneva from 19 to 23 July. “In addition to the meetings of the working groups; Geneva will host multilateral negotiations... Read More

Azerbaijani oil income declined by about 2.0 times

Azerbaijani oil income declined by 2.0 times The State Customs Committee of Azerbaijan Republic has reported that Azerbaijani oil export was $2.315 billion US for Jan-May 2016 versus $4.035 billion US for the same period in 2015. The official statistics show that Azerbaijan oil export declined by 1.74 times in the first five months of 2016 compared to the same period previous year. Azerbaijan oil export was $429.809 million US on May 2016 against... Read More

Azerbaijani Oil Export Declined by 23.7 % in April 2016

Azerbaijani Oil Export Declined by 23.7 % in April 2016 State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR) exported 159 599 tons of crude oil from Novorossiysk port, 176 598 tons from Supsa port, 1 112 953 tons from Ceyhan port in April 2016.Generally, 239 536 tons of crude oil was exported from Novorossiysk port, 776 198 tons from Supsa, 5 741 694 tons from Ceyhan port, 14 946 tons from Kulevi port in January-April 2016. Download Full Report Here  Read More

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